Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.036917 0.039875 0.042980 0.046487 0.050344 0.054462 0.059200
2025-03-30 0.031889 0.036022 0.040599 0.046064 0.052438 0.059668 0.068532
2025-04-06 0.028198 0.032917 0.038356 0.045129 0.053391 0.063214 0.075880
2025-04-13 0.026176 0.031396 0.037615 0.045636 0.055802 0.068390 0.085357
2025-04-20 0.024344 0.029865 0.036625 0.045608 0.057374 0.072463 0.093609
2025-04-27 0.023097 0.028912 0.036213 0.046178 0.059630 0.077452 0.103356
2025-05-04 0.021711 0.027654 0.035275 0.045927 0.060689 0.080822 0.111060
2025-05-11 0.020542 0.026581 0.034478 0.045758 0.061778 0.084225 0.119000
2025-05-18 0.019475 0.025564 0.033670 0.045481 0.062641 0.087300 0.126633
2025-05-25 0.018580 0.024720 0.033032 0.045372 0.063691 0.090662 0.134917
2025-06-01 0.017591 0.023684 0.032056 0.044695 0.063827 0.092617 0.141096
2025-06-08 0.016632 0.022635 0.030998 0.043820 0.063577 0.093923 0.146271
2025-06-15 0.015867 0.021834 0.030262 0.043390 0.063997 0.096326 0.153530
2025-06-22 0.015165 0.021089 0.029568 0.042976 0.064403 0.098716 0.160961
2025-06-29 0.014395 0.020206 0.028620 0.042110 0.064014 0.099753 0.166067
2025-07-06 0.014035 0.019910 0.028534 0.042575 0.065800 0.104521 0.178298
2025-07-13 0.013575 0.019442 0.028157 0.042549 0.066758 0.107921 0.188290
2025-07-20 0.013280 0.019209 0.028128 0.043074 0.068663 0.113092 0.202131
2025-07-27 0.012826 0.018710 0.027657 0.042842 0.069241 0.115919 0.211630
2025-08-03 0.012418 0.018264 0.027249 0.042687 0.069933 0.118984 0.221883
2025-08-10 0.012013 0.017806 0.026798 0.042433 0.070423 0.121695 0.231647
2025-08-17 0.011664 0.017422 0.026450 0.042332 0.071177 0.124943 0.242854
2025-08-24 0.011227 0.016881 0.025821 0.041709 0.070930 0.126228 0.249909